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PSG W vs Lille W

France France

Coupe de France Women
PSG W Logo

PSG W

2 - 0
FT
Lille W Logo

Lille W

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Leuchter R.
Penalty Missed
56' Event
Kanjinga M.
87' Event
Jourde F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
PSG W
20%
Draws
19%
Lille W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Lille W haven't matched PSG W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans PSG W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • PSG W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PSG W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSG W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PSG W Clean Sheet 68%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSG W Lille W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.12 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France Women
PSG W vs Lille W
2:0
Jan 9, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Lille W
6:0
Oct 21, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs PSG W
0:4
Jan 13, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs PSG W
1:3
Sep 30, 2018 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Lille W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanjinga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jourde F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lille W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSG W 95 / 100
Lille W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSG W Lille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSG W scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PSG W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lille W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

PSG W VS Lille W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSG W

(Home)
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
02 Sept
PSG W
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
26 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
1 : 1
PSG W
18 Aug
Valencia W
0 : 4
PSG W
Page 1 of 7

Lille W

(Away)
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
24 May
Reims W
3 : 1
Lille W
17 May
Lille W
0 : 0
Saint-Malo W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4