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PSG W vs Montpellier W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Paris Saint-Germain Training Center, Poissy
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:05 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSG W host Montpellier W in the Premiere Ligue Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Montpellier W have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while PSG W have conceded 0.78 and scored 2.28. Head-to-head, PSG W have won 4 to Montpellier W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.00) back PSG W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
PSG W
30%
Draws
19%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • PSG W have won more games recently than Montpellier W.
  • Win probability leans PSG W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSG W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
PSG W Clean Sheet 20%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSG W Montpellier W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs PSG W
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Coupe de France Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
5:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs Montpellier W
4:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs PSG W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSG W 85 / 100
Montpellier W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSG W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSG W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Montpellier W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: PSG W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSG W VS Montpellier W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSG W

(Home)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
01 Oct
PSG W
5 : 0
Leuven W
22 Sept
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
PSG W
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
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Montpellier W

(Away)
03 Oct
Nantes W
1 : 1
Montpellier W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)