Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSG W vs OL Lyonnes W

France France

Coupe de France Women Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes
PSG W Logo

PSG W

1 - 4
FT
OL Lyonnes W Logo

OL Lyonnes W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Dumornay D. M.
35' Event
Becho V.
Assist: Brand J.
40' Event
Becho V.
Assist: Brand J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PSG W
15%
Draws
46%
OL Lyonnes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • OL Lyonnes W have won more games recently than PSG W.
  • OL Lyonnes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • OL Lyonnes W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor OL Lyonnes W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
PSG W Clean Sheet 10%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSG W OL Lyonnes W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 21 24
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.17 3.68
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Coupe de France Women
PSG W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs PSG W
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
PSG W vs OL Lyonnes W
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs PSG W
6:1
May 16, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs PSG W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanjinga M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Becho V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dumornay D. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSG W 10 / 100
OL Lyonnes W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSG W OL Lyonnes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSG W scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PSG W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

OL Lyonnes W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSG W VS OL Lyonnes W
2.13 Goals Scored 3.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

PSG W

(Home)
18 Sept
PSG W
1 : 0
Nantes W
11 Sept
PSG W
2 : 0
Strasbourg W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
02 Sept
PSG W
5 : 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W
26 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
1 : 1
PSG W
Page 1 of 6

OL Lyonnes W

(Away)
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
London City Lionesses W
21 Aug
OL Lyonnes W
3 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Dijon W 4
Toulouse W 1
Rennes W 0
Fleury 91 W 5
PSG W 2
Lille W 0
Sarcelles A.A.S. W 1
Montpellier W 2
Troyes W 1
Chatenoy W 3
Caen W 3
La Roche W 2
Roubaix W 1
Saint-Malo W 2
Lens W 0
Paris FC W 2
Bergerac W 0
Nantes W 9
Lorient W 1
Le Mans W 7
Albi-Marssac W 1
Grenoble W 2
Esperance Pernoise W 0
Strasbourg W 2
Thonon Evian W 0
Marseille W 1
St Etienne W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Molsheim Ernolsheim W 1
Nice W 4
Le Havre W 4
Auxerre W 1
1/8-finals
Dijon W 1
Fleury 91 W 0
PSG W 5
Montpellier W 0
Chatenoy W 1
Caen W 2
Saint-Malo W 0
Paris FC W 1
Nantes W 5
Le Mans W 0
Grenoble W 0
Strasbourg W 1
Marseille W 1
OL Lyonnes W 5
Nice W 1
Le Havre W 2
Quarter-finals
Dijon W 1
PSG W 2
Caen W 0
Paris FC W 2
Nantes W 0
Strasbourg W 1
OL Lyonnes W 7
Le Havre W 0
Semi-finals
PSG W 2
Paris FC W 1
Strasbourg W 0
OL Lyonnes W 6
Final
PSG W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4