Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSIM Yogyakarta vs Malut United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Mandala Krida Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSIM Yogyakarta play Malut United in the Super League. It looks like a close match. Recently, PSIM Yogyakarta averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Malut United averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, PSIM Yogyakarta won 3, Malut United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.75 for Malut United. This points to a Malut United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
PSIM Yogyakarta
26%
Draws
38%
Malut United
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Malut United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • PSIM Yogyakarta picked up more points recently compared to Malut United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
PSIM Yogyakarta Clean Sheet 12%
Malut United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIM Yogyakarta Malut United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Super League
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Malut United
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Malut United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:2
Nov 25, 2023 Championship
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Malut United
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 Championship
Malut United vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSIM Yogyakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Irfan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Malut United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIM Yogyakarta 35 / 100
Malut United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIM Yogyakarta Malut United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Malut United or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PSIM Yogyakarta attacking → ← attacking Malut United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSIM Yogyakarta scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Malut United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

PSIM Yogyakarta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Malut United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 48
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518