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Stadium Background

PSIS Semarang vs Persipal BU

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Jatidiri Stadium, Semarang
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Bustan R.
29' Event
Sulistia K.
Assist: Akbar H.
32'
Sub
Rizki M. In: Rahman T.
Out: Rizki M.

AI Match Summary

PSIS Semarang in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSIS Semarang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
PSIS Semarang
20%
Draws
0%
Persipal BU
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSIS Semarang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • PSIS Semarang have won more games recently than Persipal BU.
  • PSIS Semarang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors PSIS Semarang here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 68%
Persipal BU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSIS Semarang Persipal BU
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 3
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 3
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Persipal BU
6:1
Jan 3, 2026 Championship
PSIS Semarang vs Persipal BU
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Championship
Persipal BU vs PSIS Semarang
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSIS Semarang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sulistia K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamzah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Persipal BU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSIS Semarang 95 / 100
Persipal BU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSIS Semarang Persipal BU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSIS Semarang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Persipal BU has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Persipal BU's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

PSIS Semarang has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSIS Semarang VS Persipal BU
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

PSIS Semarang

(Home)
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2
PSIS Semarang
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
25 Apr
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0
Tornado Pekanbaru
18 Apr
Persipura Jayapura
3 : 1
PSIS Semarang
11 Apr
Persiku Kudus
3 : 3
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

Persipal BU

(Away)
03 May
PS Barito Putera
8 : 3
Persipal BU
26 Apr
Persipal BU
0 : 5
Persipura Jayapura
18 Apr
Persela Lamongan
7 : 1
Persipal BU
12 Apr
Persipal BU
2 : 4
Deltras Sidoarjo
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0
Persipal BU
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)