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PSM Makassar vs Dewa United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
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Match Events

45'
Boboev S.
46'
Sub
Lilipaly S. In: Vikri E.
Out: Lilipaly S.
46'
Sub
Aditia F. In: Pratama R.
Out: Aditia F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between PSM Makassar and Dewa United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
PSM Makassar
15%
Draws
64%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dewa United come out ahead of PSM Makassar on wins alone.
  • Dewa United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 13%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Dewa United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Dewa United
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
0:1
Jan 27, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
3:2
Aug 26, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Dewa United
3:1
Nov 12, 2023 Super League
Dewa United vs PSM Makassar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSM Makassar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Vico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 10 / 100
Dewa United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Dewa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Dewa United has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: PSM Makassar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Dewa United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
09 May
Arema FC
3 : 0
PSM Makassar
04 May
PSM Makassar
2 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

Dewa United

(Away)
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
16 May
Persis Solo
1 : 0
Dewa United
08 May
PSBS Biak Numfor
0 : 5
Dewa United
03 May
Dewa United
1 : 0
Semen Padang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)