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PSM Makassar vs Persipura Jayapura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
PSM Makassar Logo

PSM Makassar

Wed, Nov 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Persipura Jayapura Logo

Persipura Jayapura

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the I.League Cup. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. PSM Makassar have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Persipura Jayapura's 1.9 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, PSM Makassar have won 1 to Persipura Jayapura's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 2.06) back Persipura Jayapura to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSM Makassar
15%
Draws
40%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSM Makassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • PSM Makassar haven't matched Persipura Jayapura's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Persipura Jayapura arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSM Makassar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2022 Super League
Persipura Jayapura vs PSM Makassar
0:0
Nov 27, 2021 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persipura Jayapura
1:1
Feb 16, 2021 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Nov 22, 2020 Super League
Persipura Jayapura vs PSM Makassar
0:0
Nov 18, 2019 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Persipura Jayapura
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 30 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Persipura Jayapura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PSM Makassar scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Persipura Jayapura conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Persipura Jayapura
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
03 Nov
De Red
0 : 2
PSM Makassar
31 Oct
PSM Makassar
0 : 1
Madura United
26 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
0 : 0
PSM Makassar
22 Oct
PSM Makassar
1 : 0
Persebaya
16 Oct
PSIM Yogyakarta
1 : 2
PSM Makassar
Page 1 of 6

Persipura Jayapura

(Away)
31 Oct
Persela Lamongan
3 : 1
Persipura Jayapura
23 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
5 : 1
Balikpapan
17 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 6
Persipura Jayapura
09 Oct
Persipura Jayapura
1 : 3
RANS Nusantara
02 Oct
De Red
1 : 3
Persipura Jayapura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Adhyaksa Bekasi 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)