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PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang Prediction & H2H Stats

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Gelora BJ Habibie, Parepare City
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Oropa A. In: Botan K.
Out: Oropa A.
61'
Sub
Arfan M. In: Gledson
Out: Arfan M.
61'
Sub
Pratama R. In: Rahaman A.
Out: Pratama R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
PSM Makassar
30%
Draws
54%
Semen Padang
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Semen Padang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Semen Padang haven't matched PSM Makassar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives PSM Makassar a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 20%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSM Makassar Semen Padang
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.27 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang
0:0
Aug 22, 2025 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Apr 10, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Semen Padang
2:0
Nov 21, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Sep 23, 2019 Super League
Semen Padang vs PSM Makassar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSM Makassar 36 / 100
Semen Padang 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSM Makassar Semen Padang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Semen Padang has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: PSM Makassar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSM Makassar VS Semen Padang
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSM Makassar

(Home)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
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Semen Padang

(Away)
26 Sept
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 2
Semen Padang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1
Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0
Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7
Persebaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
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