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Stadium Background

PSMS Medan vs Bekasi City

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Teladan, Medan
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cadenazzi F.
Assist: Nugroho A.
37'
Gutawa E.
38' Event
Amiruddin S.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between PSMS Medan and Bekasi City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
PSMS Medan
33%
Draws
27%
Bekasi City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bekasi City come out ahead of PSMS Medan on wins alone.
  • Model gives PSMS Medan a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 68%
Bekasi City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Bekasi City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
2:1
Jan 30, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Bekasi City
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSMS Medan
0:2
Oct 2, 2024 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Bekasi City
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadenazzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bekasi City Compare

Top Goalscorer Amiruddin S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 50 / 100
Bekasi City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Bekasi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSMS Medan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Bekasi City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: PSMS Medan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS Bekasi City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
25 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Adhyaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
11 Apr
Garudayaksa
1 : 0
PSMS Medan
05 Apr
Persikad Depok
2 : 2
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 6

Bekasi City

(Away)
02 May
Bekasi City
3 : 2
PSPS Riau
25 Apr
Persikad Depok
3 : 2
Bekasi City
18 Apr
Bekasi City
3 : 1
Adhyaksa
12 Apr
Sumsel United
1 : 1
Bekasi City
06 Apr
Bekasi City
1 : 1
Persekat Tegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)