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PSMS Medan vs Persija Jakarta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Stadion Teladan, Medan
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Yoshino K.
36'
Arhan P.
43' Event
Dennis F.
Assist: Kwon Chang-Hoon

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
PSMS Medan
30%
Draws
33%
Persija Jakarta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSMS Medan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Persija Jakarta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Persija Jakarta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSMS Medan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 12%
Persija Jakarta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Persija Jakarta
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 I.League Cup
PSMS Medan vs Persija Jakarta
1:1
Aug 1, 2026 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
4:1
Aug 12, 2018 Super League
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Super League
PSMS Medan vs Persija Jakarta
3:1
Feb 12, 2018 President Cup
Persija Jakarta vs PSMS Medan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSMS Medan Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillerson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Persija Jakarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Dennis F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 30 / 100
Persija Jakarta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Persija Jakarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSMS Medan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Persija Jakarta conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: PSMS Medan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS Persija Jakarta
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
1 : 2
PSMS Medan
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1
PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
11 Oct
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

Persija Jakarta

(Away)
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
Dewa United
2 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Oct
Persija Jakarta
2 : 1
Persik Kediri
21 Oct
Persija Jakarta
5 : 1
Arema FC
17 Oct
Persita
3 : 2
Persija Jakarta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Adhyaksa Bekasi 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)