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PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Teladan, Medan
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSMS Medan host Persiraja Aceh in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. PSMS Medan have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Persiraja Aceh's 1.58 scored and 1.09 conceded. Head-to-head, PSMS Medan have won 2 to Persiraja Aceh's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.31) back Persiraja Aceh to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
PSMS Medan
30%
Draws
39%
Persiraja Aceh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persiraja Aceh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Persiraja Aceh come out ahead of PSMS Medan on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 18%
Persiraja Aceh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSMS Medan Persiraja Aceh
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Persiraja Aceh
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
Persiraja Aceh vs PSMS Medan
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSMS Medan 36 / 100
Persiraja Aceh 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSMS Medan Persiraja Aceh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persiraja Aceh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSMS Medan scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Persiraja Aceh conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: PSMS Medan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSMS Medan VS Persiraja Aceh
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSMS Medan

(Home)
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1
Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
1 : 2
PSMS Medan
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1
PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1
PSMS Medan
11 Oct
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

Persiraja Aceh

(Away)
30 Oct
Persiku Kudus
1 : 3
Persiraja Aceh
24 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
2 : 1
PSGC Ciamis
17 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 0
Bekasi City
09 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 3
Persiraja Aceh
02 Oct
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 2
Sumsel United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSPS Riau 8 6 1 1 16:9 19
2 PSMS Medan 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Persikad Depok 8 4 1 3 11:13 13
4 Semen Padang 8 4 2 2 9:6 13
5 PSIS Semarang 8 3 3 2 9:7 11
6 Sumsel United 8 3 2 3 13:11 10
7 Persiraja Aceh 8 3 1 4 11:10 9
8 Adhyaksa Bekasi 8 1 4 3 8:7 7
9 PSGC Ciamis 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Persiku Kudus 8 0 1 7 6:26 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 8 5 2 1 16:5 16
2 PS Barito Putera 8 5 1 2 16:9 16
3 Deltras Sidoarjo 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 8 4 4 0 16:4 15
5 RANS Nusantara 8 4 3 1 18:11 15
6 Persipura Jayapura 8 3 2 3 19:13 10
7 De Red 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
8 Persis Solo 8 1 4 3 14:12 7
9 Balikpapan 8 1 0 7 6:18 -1
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 8 0 0 8 3:41 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)