Sport Picks
PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship Stadion Teladan, Medan 
Match Events
22'
22'
Utama R.
Assist: Putra P.
28'
28'
Siverio J.
Assist: Chan I.
39'
39'
Siverio J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between PSMS Medan and PSIS Semarang finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PSMS Medan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSMS Medan come out ahead of PSIS Semarang on wins alone.
- PSMS Medan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 20%
PSIS Semarang Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSMS Medan | PSIS Semarang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang
2:1
Sep 12, 2018 Super League
PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang
2:3
Apr 15, 2018 Super League
PSIS Semarang vs PSMS Medan
4:1
Nov 25, 2017 Championship
PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang
2:0
Oct 7, 2017 Championship
PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Utama R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Siverio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
PSIS Semarang Compare
Top Goalscorer Ridwan F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSMS Medan 58 / 100
PSIS Semarang 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSMS Medan PSIS Semarang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSMS Medan scored in 82% of their last 34 games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
PSIS Semarang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
PSMS Medan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
PSMS Medan VS PSIS Semarang
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
PSMS Medan
(Home) 03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 Persija Jakarta
31 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
1 : 2 PSMS Medan
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1 PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
11 Oct
PSPS Riau
2 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
PSMS Medan
1 : 1 Persija Jakarta
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1 PSIS Semarang
03 Oct
PSMS Medan
4 : 0 Persikad Depok
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
26 Jul
PSMS Medan
0 : 2 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 3
PSIS Semarang
(Away) 01 Nov
PSIS Semarang
0 : 0 Persikad Depok
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1 PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
09 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 3 Persiraja Aceh
03 Oct
PSIS Semarang
1 : 0 Adhyaksa Bekasi
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
PSMS Medan
2 : 1 PSIS Semarang
17 Oct
PSGC Ciamis
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
27 Sept
Persiku Kudus
0 : 3 PSIS Semarang
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
19 Jul
Persebaya
2 : 2 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSPS Riau | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Persikad Depok | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 13 |
| 4 | Semen Padang | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | PSIS Semarang | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Sumsel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 7 | Persiraja Aceh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 8 | Adhyaksa Bekasi | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | PSGC Ciamis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:26 | -1 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persela Lamongan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:5 | 16 |
| 2 | PS Barito Putera | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16:4 | 15 |
| 5 | RANS Nusantara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 10 |
| 7 | De Red | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 8 | Persis Solo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 7 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:18 | -1 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:41 | -4 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)
