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PSNI vs Ards

World World

Club Friendly 2024
0 - 7
FT
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Match Events

6' Event
Trialist A
8' Event
Trialist A
21' Event
Trialist A

AI Match Summary

Ards in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSNI
15%
Draws
85%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • PSNI haven't matched Ards's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ards taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ards have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
PSNI Clean Sheet 18%
Ards Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSNI Ards
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.71
Goals Conceded 3.96 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
PSNI vs Ards
0:7
Jan 17, 2020 NIFL Championship
Ards vs PSNI
0:1
Oct 26, 2019 NIFL Championship
Ards vs PSNI
3:0
Aug 3, 2019 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Ards
0:4
Feb 28, 2015 NIFL Championship
Ards vs PSNI
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSNI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Ards Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist A
3 Goals
Assists Leader Steele A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSNI 10 / 100
Ards 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSNI Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ards Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Ards conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Ards lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PSNI scored in 48% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ards
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSNI

(Home)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
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Ards

(Away)
04 Sept
Annagh
2 : 1
Ards
28 Aug
Ards
0 : 3
Queens University
22 Aug
Ards
1 : 2
Loughgall
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2
Dundela
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