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PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
PSNI Logo

PSNI

11 - 1
FT
Lurgan Celtic Logo

Lurgan Celtic

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
21' Event
27' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2017/2018 game between PSNI and Lurgan Celtic finished 11-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSNI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
PSNI
15%
Draws
85%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSNI come out ahead of Lurgan Celtic on wins alone.
  • Lurgan Celtic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PSNI here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PSNI Clean Sheet 11%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSNI Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 0 5
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.52 0.83
Goals Conceded 3.66 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI
2:4
Feb 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
11:1
Nov 4, 2017 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
2:0
Sep 2, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI
3:0
Nov 5, 2016 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSNI 10 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSNI Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Celtic let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lurgan Celtic registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PSNI scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSNI VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PSNI

(Home)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
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Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)