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PSPS Riau vs Bekasi City

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSPS Riau play Bekasi City in the Championship. It looks like a close match. Recently, PSPS Riau averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Bekasi City averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, PSPS Riau won 0, Bekasi City won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for PSPS Riau and 1.25 for Bekasi City. This points to a Bekasi City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
PSPS Riau
34%
Draws
38%
Bekasi City
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Bekasi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • PSPS Riau picked up more points recently compared to Bekasi City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 19%
Bekasi City Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSPS Riau Bekasi City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSPS Riau
3:2
Nov 13, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Bekasi City
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSPS Riau
4:0
Nov 15, 2024 Championship
Bekasi City vs PSPS Riau
4:3
Sep 14, 2024 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Bekasi City
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSPS Riau 29 / 100
Bekasi City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSPS Riau Bekasi City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bekasi City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

PSPS Riau attacking → ← attacking Bekasi City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSPS Riau scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Bekasi City let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

PSPS Riau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bekasi City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 51
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907