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PSPS Riau vs FC Bhayangkara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

I.League Cup Kaharudin Nasution Sport Center Rumbai Stadium, Pekanbaru
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Match Events

7' Event
Kurnia R.
Assist: Andhika M.
11'
Revan M.
27'
Sub
Kurnia R. In: Rizki S.
Out: Kurnia R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PSPS Riau
30%
Draws
31%
FC Bhayangkara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSPS Riau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSPS Riau lately — more wins on the board than FC Bhayangkara.
  • Win probability leans PSPS Riau's way, sitting at 40%.
  • PSPS Riau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Bhayangkara, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 19%
FC Bhayangkara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSPS Riau FC Bhayangkara
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.91 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 I.League Cup
PSPS Riau vs FC Bhayangkara
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSPS Riau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FC Bhayangkara Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurnia R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ristovski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSPS Riau 40 / 100
FC Bhayangkara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSPS Riau FC Bhayangkara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSPS Riau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSPS Riau scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: FC Bhayangkara conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: PSPS Riau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSPS Riau VS FC Bhayangkara
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSPS Riau

(Home)
04 Nov
PSPS Riau
1 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
31 Oct
Bekasi City
1 : 1
PSPS Riau
24 Oct
Persikad Depok
2 : 3
PSPS Riau
18 Oct
PSPS Riau
4 : 1
Persiku Kudus
11 Oct
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7

FC Bhayangkara

(Away)
04 Nov
PSPS Riau
1 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
30 Oct
Java United
2 : 0
FC Bhayangkara
26 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
0 : 0
PSM Makassar
20 Oct
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 0
PSIM Yogyakarta
16 Oct
Madura United
3 : 3
FC Bhayangkara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 PSMS Medan 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Sumsel United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Semen Padang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSPS Riau 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Persiraja Aceh 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persita 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Java United 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 PSIS Semarang 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bekasi City 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikad Depok 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persiku Kudus 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Garudayaksa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 PSGC Ciamis 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tornado Pekanbaru 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 PSBS Biak Numfor 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persebaya 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persik Kediri 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persis Solo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Madura United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Persijap Jepara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bali United 1 1 0 0 6:1 3
2 PS Barito Putera 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Balikpapan 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSM Makassar 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Persipura Jayapura 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 De Red 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arema FC 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 RANS Nusantara 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - I.League Cup (Play Offs)