Sport Picks
PSS Sleman vs Madura United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Super League Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta 
Match Events
12'
12'
Idrus A.
42'
42'
Mitkov D.
45'
45'
Mitkov D.
Assist: Ilhamsyah
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between PSS Sleman and Madura United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madura United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madura United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSS Sleman come out ahead of Madura United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Madura United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 15%
Madura United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PSS Sleman | Madura United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Madura United
1:3
May 24, 2025 Super League
Madura United vs PSS Sleman
0:3
Dec 27, 2024 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Madura United
4:0
Mar 29, 2024 Super League
Madura United vs PSS Sleman
0:0
Sep 24, 2023 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Madura United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PSS Sleman Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Fornazari
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Madura United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitkov D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Santacruz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PSS Sleman 10 / 100
Madura United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PSS Sleman Madura United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Madura United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: PSS Sleman scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Madura United conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
PSS Sleman has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
PSS Sleman VS Madura United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
PSS Sleman
(Home) 20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3 Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3 Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0 PSIS Semarang
20 Apr
PSS Sleman
2 : 1 Persiku Kudus
04 Apr
PSS Sleman
7 : 0 Persipal BU
Page 1 of 3
Madura United
(Away) 09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0 Madura United
18 Sept
Madura United
2 : 1 PSIM Yogyakarta
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
06 Sept
Madura United
2 : 0 Persijap Jepara
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Persik Kediri
2 : 0 Madura United
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3 Madura United
17 May
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1 Madura United
11 May
FC Bhayangkara
3 : 1 Madura United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Madura United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Persita | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Persebaya | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Persik Kediri | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Borneo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Arema FC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10:6 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Bhayangkara | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Persib Bandung | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Bali United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 12 | PSM Makassar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 13 | Garudayaksa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 0 |
| 16 | Persijap Jepara | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 17 | Java United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -1 |
| 18 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:11 | -2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)
