Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSS Sleman vs Persipura Jayapura

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Maguwoharjo Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Gustavo Tocantins
45' Event
Gustavo Tocantins
Assist: Gomes K.
46'
Sub
Kanu M. In: Alfareza A.
Out: Kanu M.

AI Match Summary

PSS Sleman host Persipura Jayapura in the Championship. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PSS Sleman at 2 goals for, 0.5 against; Persipura Jayapura at 2.13 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor PSS Sleman slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back PSS Sleman to edge this. PSS Sleman in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
PSS Sleman
20%
Draws
38%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSS Sleman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Persipura Jayapura has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to PSS Sleman.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for PSS Sleman.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Championship provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 18%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSS Sleman Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 19
Draws 8 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Persipura Jayapura
2:0
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs PSS Sleman
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Persipura Jayapura
0:0
Mar 20, 2022 Super League
Persipura Jayapura vs PSS Sleman
4:2
Dec 7, 2021 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Persipura Jayapura
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tocantins
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfareza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSS Sleman 41 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSS Sleman Persipura Jayapura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSS Sleman scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Persipura Jayapura let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

PSS Sleman went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSS Sleman VS Persipura Jayapura
2 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907