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PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Maguwoharjo Stadium, Yogyakarta
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSS Sleman host PSM Makassar in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: PSS Sleman at 1.83 goals for, 0.93 against; PSM Makassar at 1.27 for, 1.67 against. Head-to-head, PSS Sleman have won 1 to PSM Makassar's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 3, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.38) back PSS Sleman to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
PSS Sleman
20%
Draws
32%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSS Sleman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSS Sleman come out ahead of PSM Makassar on wins alone.
  • PSS Sleman are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 17%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSS Sleman PSM Makassar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Super League
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar
3:1
Dec 13, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Super League
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Super League
PSM Makassar vs PSS Sleman
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSS Sleman 48 / 100
PSM Makassar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSS Sleman PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSS Sleman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSS Sleman found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

PSM Makassar let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

PSM Makassar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSS Sleman VS PSM Makassar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

PSS Sleman

(Home)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6

PSM Makassar

(Away)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)