Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSV host Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sparta Rotterdam have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while PSV have conceded 1.56 and scored 2.91. Past meetings favor PSV slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.69, favoring PSV. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
PSV
30%
Draws
19%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • PSV have won more games recently than Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Win probability leans PSV's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • PSV have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
PSV Clean Sheet 13%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.91 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam
6:1
May 18, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs PSV
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
May 5, 2024 Eredivisie
PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 84 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV scored in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: PSV remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sparta Rotterdam has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Sparta Rotterdam
3.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2
PSV
08 Aug
PSV
2 : 2
Sittard
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Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
14 Aug
Telstar
1 : 3
Sparta Rotterdam
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1
Feyenoord
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 5 5 0 0 16:5 15
2 PSV 5 4 1 0 18:6 13
3 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 13:7 11
4 Excelsior 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
5 Sittard 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
6 G.A. Eagles 5 2 2 1 14:12 8
7 Ajax 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
8 Twente 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
9 Nijmegen 5 2 1 2 11:9 7
10 Groningen 5 2 1 2 11:12 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 9:9 5
12 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Telstar 4 1 1 2 5:10 4
14 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Utrecht 5 0 2 3 9:18 2
16 Willem II 4 0 1 3 4:13 1
17 Den Haag 5 0 1 4 6:14 1
18 Cambuur 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)