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PSV vs Villarreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Cardona S.
36'
Diatta A.
42'
Mourino S.

AI Match Summary

Villarreal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villarreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PSV
15%
Draws
46%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • PSV have won more games recently than Villarreal.
  • Win probability leans PSV's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
PSV Clean Sheet 16%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Villarreal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.66 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
PSV vs Villarreal
1:3
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
PSV vs Villarreal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauro Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikautadze G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tidiane Thiam C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 41 / 100
Villarreal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Villarreal conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: PSV remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Villarreal
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
PSV
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2
PSV
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Villarreal

(Away)
20 Oct
Liverpool
4 : 3
Villarreal
17 Oct
Villarreal
0 : 0
Elche
13 Oct
Villarreal
3 : 1
Napoli
10 Oct
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Villarreal
20 Sept
Villarreal
3 : 1
Levante
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