Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV vs Willem II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSV host Willem II in the Eredivisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: PSV at 2.67 goals for, 1.57 against; Willem II at 1.79 for, 1.32 against. Past meetings favor PSV slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.06, favoring PSV. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
PSV
15%
Draws
12%
Willem II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Willem II haven't matched PSV's recent run of results.
  • PSV are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
PSV Clean Sheet 68%
Willem II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV Willem II
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.67 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Eredivisie
PSV vs Willem II
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Eredivisie
Willem II vs PSV
0:2
May 1, 2022 Eredivisie
PSV vs Willem II
4:2
Sep 25, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs PSV
2:1
May 9, 2021 Eredivisie
Willem II vs PSV
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV 77 / 100
Willem II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV Willem II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Willem II let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Willem II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV VS Willem II
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV

(Home)
20 Oct
FC Porto
0 : 1
PSV
17 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 1
PSV
13 Oct
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
PSV
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2
PSV
Page 1 of 6

Willem II

(Away)
17 Oct
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 2
Willem II
11 Oct
Utrecht
3 : 1
Willem II
19 Sept
Willem II
0 : 1
Sittard
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 31:10 23
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 6 2 1 20:10 20
3 PSV 9 6 1 2 27:12 19
4 Ajax 9 5 3 1 27:12 18
5 Twente 9 5 2 2 17:10 17
6 Sittard 9 4 3 2 16:17 15
7 Groningen 9 4 2 3 22:19 14
8 Heerenveen 9 3 3 3 15:11 12
9 G.A. Eagles 9 2 5 2 20:21 11
10 Excelsior 9 3 2 4 16:18 11
11 Utrecht 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
12 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 15:16 10
13 Sparta Rotterdam 9 2 3 4 16:22 9
14 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 13:21 9
15 Zwolle 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Telstar 9 1 3 5 10:18 6
17 Den Haag 9 1 3 5 11:20 6
18 Willem II 9 0 2 7 9:26 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)