Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs Ajax W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Cup Women De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ripa C.
47' Event
Kalma F.
63'
Sub
Buikema N. In: Van Egmond B.
Out: Buikema N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
PSV W
15%
Draws
51%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • PSV W have won more games recently than Ajax W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • PSV W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PSV W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
PSV W Clean Sheet 16%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Ajax W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.11 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs PSV W
2:1
May 21, 2025 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
5:1
Mar 22, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalma F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ajax W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 31 / 100
Ajax W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ajax W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ajax W has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Ajax W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
Feyenoord W
0 : 6
PSV W
02 Sept
Koge W
1 : 1
PSV W
26 Aug
PSV W
0 : 1
Koge W
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Ajax W

(Away)
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
02 Sept
Real Madrid W
2 : 1
Ajax W
26 Aug
Ajax W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
PSV W 2
Twente W 0
Ajax W 3
Feyenoord W 0
Final
PSV W 3
Ajax W 0