Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs De Graafschap W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women De Herdgang, Eindhoven
PSV W Logo

PSV W

4 - 0
FT
De Graafschap W Logo

De Graafschap W

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rijsbergen L.
Assist: Lacroix R.
26'
Sub
Cayman J. In: Ripa C.
Out: Cayman J.
46'
Sub
Jacobs L. In: Altena A.
Out: Jacobs L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PSV W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
PSV W
15%
Draws
32%
De Graafschap W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • PSV W have won more games recently than De Graafschap W.
  • Win probability leans PSV W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
PSV W Clean Sheet 18%
De Graafschap W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W De Graafschap W
Matches Played 36 11
Wins 26 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.28 1.82
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs De Graafschap W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rijsbergen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

De Graafschap W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 76 / 100
De Graafschap W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W De Graafschap W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

De Graafschap W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 11 matches.

Solid form: PSV W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS De Graafschap W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
Page 1 of 8

De Graafschap W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)