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PSV W vs Heerenveen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women De Herdgang, Eindhoven
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PSV W host Heerenveen W in the Eredivisie Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. PSV W have averaged 2.28 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Heerenveen W's 1.81 scored and 2.33 conceded. Head-to-head, PSV W have won 5 to Heerenveen W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.48) point toward PSV W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PSV W
30%
Draws
31%
Heerenveen W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSV W lately — more wins on the board than Heerenveen W.
  • Model gives PSV W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSV W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
PSV W Clean Sheet 16%
Heerenveen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Heerenveen W
Matches Played 36 27
Wins 26 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.28 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs PSV W
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Heerenveen W
6:0
Apr 20, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Heerenveen W
5:1
Oct 13, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Heerenveen W vs PSV W
0:1
Apr 20, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Heerenveen W
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 66 / 100
Heerenveen W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Heerenveen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PSV W scored in 89% of their last 36 outings.

Heerenveen W has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: PSV W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Heerenveen W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
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Heerenveen W

(Away)
04 Oct
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
06 Sept
Twente W
5 : 1
Heerenveen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)