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PSV W vs NAC Breda W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 De Herdgang, Eindhoven
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Match Events

20' Event
Frijns E.
Assist: Folkertsma S.
22' Event
Nijstad N.
Assist: Rijsbergen L.
23' Event
Rijsbergen L.
Assist: Kalma F.

AI Match Summary

PSV W in this Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSV W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
PSV W
15%
Draws
0%
NAC Breda W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSV W lately — more wins on the board than NAC Breda W.
  • Win probability leans PSV W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
PSV W Clean Sheet 68%
NAC Breda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W NAC Breda W
Matches Played 40 27
Wins 30 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.5 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.72 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs NAC Breda W
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Eredivisie Women
NAC Breda W vs PSV W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Frijns E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nijstad N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

NAC Breda W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Dalen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 95 / 100
NAC Breda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W NAC Breda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Defensive concern: NAC Breda W conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

NAC Breda W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS NAC Breda W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 16
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
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NAC Breda W

(Away)
01 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
16 : 1
NAC Breda W
22 May
Feyenoord W
3 : 0
NAC Breda W
08 May
NAC Breda W
0 : 3
Twente W
03 May
Den Haag W
4 : 2
NAC Breda W
26 Apr
NAC Breda W
1 : 3
Hera United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)