Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PSV W vs Twente W

Netherlands Netherlands

Super Cup Women Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Hickelsberger-Fuller J. In: Ripa C.
Out: Hickelsberger-Fuller J.
44'
Woons K.
58'
Sub
Hendriks K. In: Kaagman I.
Out: Hendriks K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
PSV W
15%
Draws
40%
Twente W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSV W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PSV W come out ahead of Twente W on wins alone.
  • Model gives PSV W a 45% chance of winning this.
  • PSV W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Twente W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
PSV W Clean Sheet 19%
Twente W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PSV W Twente W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 2.27 2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Super Cup Women
PSV W vs Twente W
3:0
May 25, 2026 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Twente W
2:0
May 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Twente W vs PSV W
1:2
May 16, 2026 KNVB Beker Women
PSV W vs Twente W
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Twente W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PSV W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripa C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thrige S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Twente W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PSV W 40 / 100
Twente W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PSV W Twente W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSV W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSV W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Twente W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: PSV W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PSV W VS Twente W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PSV W

(Home)
26 Aug
PSV W
0 : 1
Koge W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
0 : 2
PSV W
08 Aug
PSV W
3 : 1
HJK W
05 Aug
SFK 2000 Sarajevo W
2 : 3
PSV W
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Twente W

(Away)
23 Aug
Den Haag W
1 : 7
Twente W
16 Aug
Twente W
2 : 1
De Graafschap W
08 Aug
Koln W
5 : 1
Twente W
31 Jul
PSV W
3 : 0
Twente W
26 Jul
SGS Essen W
1 : 2
Twente W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
PSV W 3
Twente W 0