Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PTE-PEAC vs Erdi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lengyel S.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between PTE-PEAC and Erdi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PTE-PEAC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PTE-PEAC
35%
Draws
26%
Erdi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PTE-PEAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Erdi come out ahead of PTE-PEAC on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on PTE-PEAC taking it.
  • Regular NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors PTE-PEAC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
PTE-PEAC Clean Sheet 68%
Erdi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PTE-PEAC Erdi
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NB III - Southwest
PTE-PEAC vs Erdi
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs PTE-PEAC
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
PTE-PEAC vs Erdi
2:0
Aug 13, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Erdi vs PTE-PEAC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PTE-PEAC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lengyel S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Erdi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PTE-PEAC 95 / 100
Erdi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PTE-PEAC Erdi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PTE-PEAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PTE-PEAC scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Erdi conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

PTE-PEAC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

PTE-PEAC VS Erdi
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PTE-PEAC

(Home)
26 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Pecsi MFC
19 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 1
PTE-PEAC
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
26 Aug
PTE-PEAC
6 : 1
Budaorsi SC
21 Aug
Kaposvar
1 : 0
PTE-PEAC
Page 1 of 7

Erdi

(Away)
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Erdi
3 : 3
Ferencvaros II
30 Aug
Majosi
3 : 2
Erdi
26 Aug
Erdi
1 : 2
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)