Sport Picks
Pucarani vs Municipal de Tarija Prediction & H2H Stats
Bolivia
Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 
AI Match Summary
Pucarani in this Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal de Tarija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Municipal de Tarija have won more games recently than Pucarani.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Municipal de Tarija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Pucarani, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pucarani Clean Sheet 16%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pucarani | Municipal de Tarija |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 24 |
| Wins | 3 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.08 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Pucarani
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pucarani vs Municipal de Tarija
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pucarani 36 / 100
Municipal de Tarija 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pucarani Municipal de Tarija
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Municipal de Tarija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pucarani scored in 63% of their last 8 games.
Municipal de Tarija has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Pucarani has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Pucarani VS Municipal de Tarija
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pucarani
(Home) 26 Oct
Rio San Juan
1 : 1 Pucarani
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1 Rio San Juan
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0 Pucarani
20 Sept
Pucarani
1 : 2 Tiquipaya
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1 Universitario de Pando
Page 1 of 2
11 Oct
Pucarani
0 : 1 Rio San Juan
20 Sept
Pucarani
1 : 2 Tiquipaya
13 Sept
Pucarani
7 : 1 Universitario de Pando
23 Aug
Pucarani
2 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
Municipal de Tarija
(Away) 25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3 Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0 Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0 Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2 Municipal de Tarija
Page 1 of 5
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2 Municipal de Tarija
06 Sept
Universitario de Pando
3 : 4 Municipal de Tarija
23 Aug
Pucarani
2 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
26 Nov
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1 : 0 Municipal de Tarija
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Rio San Juan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Fancesa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 7 |
| 4 | C.A. Chocorosi | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 de Mayo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:2 | 15 |
| 2 | CD Guadalajara | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Central Union | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ingenieros | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Potosi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Torre Fuerte | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Nueva Cliza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Nacional Sucre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Juan FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Olympic FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | CD Ingenio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 4 | Chaco FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Sucre | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Deportivo Shalon | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:12 | 6 |
| 3 | Libertad FC | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 de Febrero | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:26 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tiquipaya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Municipal de Tarija | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Pucarani | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Universitario de Pando | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6:31 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
