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Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla de la Calzada play CD Badajoz in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puebla de la Calzada averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. CD Badajoz averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. In past meetings, Puebla de la Calzada won 0, CD Badajoz won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Puebla de la Calzada and 2.48 for CD Badajoz. This points to a CD Badajoz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Puebla de la Calzada
29%
Draws
51%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Puebla de la Calzada picked up more points recently compared to CD Badajoz.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.48 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla de la Calzada CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 25
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.07 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Puebla de la Calzada
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
1:1
Aug 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
0:6
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs Puebla de la Calzada
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs CD Badajoz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla de la Calzada 20 / 100
CD Badajoz 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla de la Calzada CD Badajoz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Badajoz or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puebla de la Calzada attacking → ← attacking CD Badajoz

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla de la Calzada scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

CD Badajoz let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Puebla de la Calzada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Badajoz lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 80
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38