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Puebla de la Calzada vs CF Trujillo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Codeiro A.
24' Event
Coronado A. M.
60'
Zape A.

AI Match Summary

Puebla de la Calzada in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla de la Calzada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Puebla de la Calzada
15%
Draws
26%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla de la Calzada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Trujillo haven't matched Puebla de la Calzada's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Puebla de la Calzada a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Puebla de la Calzada Clean Sheet 68%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla de la Calzada CF Trujillo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Puebla de la Calzada vs CF Trujillo
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs Puebla de la Calzada
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla de la Calzada Compare

Top Goalscorer Codeiro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Coronado A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CF Trujillo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla de la Calzada 95 / 100
CF Trujillo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla de la Calzada CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla de la Calzada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Trujillo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Puebla de la Calzada stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CF Trujillo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla de la Calzada VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla de la Calzada

(Home)
27 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
1 : 2
Quintana
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
Castuera
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)