Sport Picks
Puebla de la Calzada vs Santa Amalia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 
AI Match Summary
Puebla de la Calzada play Santa Amalia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puebla de la Calzada averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Santa Amalia averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Puebla de la Calzada won 1, Santa Amalia won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Puebla de la Calzada and 1.56 for Santa Amalia. This points to a Puebla de la Calzada double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Puebla de la Calzada picked up more points recently compared to Santa Amalia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla de la Calzada | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla de la Calzada Compare
Santa Amalia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puebla de la Calzada scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Santa Amalia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Puebla de la Calzada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Santa Amalia lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |