Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Penalty Missed
11' Event
(Penalty)
11' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Puebla U21
20%
Draws
36%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puebla U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puebla U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla U21 30 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla U21 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Guadalajara Chivas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Puebla U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla U21

(Home)
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
21 Jul
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
17 Jul
Juarez U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
24 Apr
Puebla U21
2 : 3
Queretaro U21
21 Apr
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Puebla U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
31 Jul
Puebla U21
1 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
16 May
Club America U21
0 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas U21
14 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
4 : 1
Club America U21
10 May
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 0
Juarez U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Club Tijuana U21 3 2 0 1 3:1 7
3 Cruz Azul U21 3 3 0 0 7:4 6
4 Monterrey U21 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Puebla U21 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
6 Toluca U21 2 2 0 0 5:2 5
7 Santos Laguna U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 5
8 Club Leon U21 3 2 0 1 4:3 5
9 Pachuca U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 5
10 Queretaro U21 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
11 Atletico San Luis U21 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
12 Juarez U21 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
13 Tigres UANL U21 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
14 UNAM Pumas U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 2
15 Guadalajara Chivas U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 2
16 Atlante U21 3 0 0 3 4:7 2
17 Necaxa U21 3 1 0 2 2:6 2
18 Atlas U21 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)