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Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
1 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Penalty Missed
11' Event
(Penalty)
11' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Puebla U21
15%
Draws
51%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puebla U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla U21 41 / 100
Guadalajara Chivas U21 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla U21 Guadalajara Chivas U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Guadalajara Chivas U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Guadalajara Chivas U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla U21 VS Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla U21

(Home)
21 Oct
Puebla U21
3 : 2
Monterrey U21
16 Oct
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Puebla U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
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Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Away)
20 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 5
Tigres UANL U21
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 13 13 0 0 31:9 36
2 Club Leon U21 13 11 0 2 24:14 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 13 7 0 6 20:20 22
4 Club America U21 13 7 0 6 20:17 21
5 Club Tijuana U21 12 7 0 5 18:18 21
6 Santos Laguna U21 13 7 0 6 17:17 21
7 Puebla U21 12 6 0 6 15:13 19
8 UNAM Pumas U21 13 5 0 8 15:17 19
9 Necaxa U21 13 7 0 6 14:17 19
10 Atlante U21 13 6 0 7 19:24 19
11 Atletico San Luis U21 13 7 0 6 24:27 18
12 Monterrey U21 12 6 0 6 24:21 17
13 Pachuca U21 13 4 0 9 15:20 17
14 Atlas U21 13 4 0 9 16:18 16
15 Tigres UANL U21 13 5 0 8 19:24 16
16 Juarez U21 13 5 0 8 11:16 15
17 Cruz Azul U21 13 6 0 7 22:22 14
18 Queretaro U21 12 2 0 10 15:25 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)