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Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
56' Event
66' Event

AI Match Summary

Puebla U21 in this Liga MX U21 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Puebla U21
15%
Draws
73%
Monterrey U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Monterrey U21 have won more games recently than Puebla U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puebla U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Monterrey U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla U21 Monterrey U21
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:2
Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
Monterrey U21 vs Puebla U21
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla U21 31 / 100
Monterrey U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla U21 Monterrey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Puebla U21 scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Monterrey U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Monterrey U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla U21 VS Monterrey U21
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla U21

(Home)
16 Oct
Club Tijuana U21
0 : 0
Puebla U21
09 Oct
Puebla U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1
Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Atlante U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1
Toluca U21
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Monterrey U21

(Away)
18 Oct
Monterrey U21
3 : 2
Pachuca U21
10 Oct
Club America U21
3 : 0
Monterrey U21
25 Sept
Atlante U21
5 : 4
Monterrey U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
13 Sept
Monterrey U21
1 : 2
Tigres UANL U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 12 12 0 0 26:9 33
2 Club Leon U21 13 11 0 2 24:14 29
3 Guadalajara Chivas U21 13 7 0 6 20:20 22
4 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
5 Club America U21 12 6 0 6 18:16 19
6 Santos Laguna U21 12 6 0 6 15:16 19
7 Necaxa U21 13 7 0 6 14:17 19
8 Atlante U21 13 6 0 7 19:24 19
9 UNAM Pumas U21 12 5 0 7 14:15 18
10 Atletico San Luis U21 13 7 0 6 24:27 18
11 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
12 Monterrey U21 11 6 0 5 22:18 16
13 Tigres UANL U21 13 5 0 8 19:24 16
14 Atlas U21 12 4 0 8 15:16 15
15 Juarez U21 13 5 0 8 11:16 15
16 Cruz Azul U21 12 6 0 6 21:19 14
17 Pachuca U21 12 3 0 9 12:19 14
18 Queretaro U21 12 2 0 10 15:25 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)