Sport Picks

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Puebla vs Atlante

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla host Atlante in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. Puebla have averaged 1.22 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Atlante's 1.31 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Puebla have won 2 to Atlante's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 23, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.56) back Atlante to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Puebla
30%
Draws
18%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Puebla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Atlante average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Puebla's 1.22.
  • Model gives Puebla a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Puebla Clean Sheet 15%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Atlante
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.22 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Puebla
1:0
Sep 14, 2017 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Puebla
2:0
Jul 26, 2017 Copa Mexico
Puebla vs Atlante
1:0
Jan 28, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Puebla
1:1
Jan 21, 2015 Copa Mexico
Puebla vs Atlante
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 75 / 100
Atlante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Atlante has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Puebla has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Atlante
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2
Santos Laguna
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3
Puebla
13 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 2
Puebla
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Atlante

(Away)
12 Sept
Atlante
0 : 3
Pachuca
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlante
1 : 1
Club Leon
22 Aug
Tigres UANL
2 : 0
Atlante
15 Aug
Atlante
0 : 0
Toluca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Club America 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
3 Cruz Azul 8 5 0 3 16:14 15
4 Guadalajara Chivas 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Queretaro 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
6 Club Tijuana 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
7 Puebla 7 4 1 2 10:9 13
8 Atlas 8 4 1 3 12:14 13
9 Pachuca 8 3 2 3 13:8 11
10 UNAM Pumas 7 3 2 2 11:9 11
11 Monterrey 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
12 Club Leon 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
13 Necaxa 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Tigres UANL 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
15 Atlante 8 1 4 3 7:12 7
16 Atletico San Luis 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
17 Santos Laguna 7 0 1 6 4:12 1
18 Juarez 7 0 0 7 3:21 0
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)