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Puebla vs Atlante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Portales W.
Assist: Julio J.
46'
Sub
Pachuca Martinez J. R. In: Moreno I.
Out: Pachuca Martinez J. R.
46'
Sub
Garnica B. In: Moreno Villegas O. F.
Out: Garnica B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Puebla
20%
Draws
60%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atlante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Atlante have won more games recently than Puebla.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Puebla Clean Sheet 20%
Atlante Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Atlante
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Atlante
1:1
Dec 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Atlante vs Puebla
1:0
Sep 14, 2017 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Puebla
2:0
Jul 26, 2017 Copa Mexico
Puebla vs Atlante
1:0
Jan 28, 2015 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Puebla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atlante Compare

Top Goalscorer Portales W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 32 / 100
Atlante 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atlante conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Puebla scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Atlante registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Atlante
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
25 Oct
Atlas
4 : 3
Puebla
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Atlante

(Away)
24 Oct
Atlante
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
21 Oct
Juarez
0 : 1
Atlante
17 Oct
Atlante
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 14 8 4 2 34:19 28
2 Cruz Azul 14 8 2 4 32:23 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas 14 7 5 2 21:12 26
4 Atlas 14 7 3 4 25:26 24
5 Toluca 14 6 5 3 29:19 23
6 Club Leon 14 6 4 4 21:18 22
7 Club Tijuana 14 5 6 3 22:18 21
8 Monterrey 13 6 2 5 23:18 20
9 Queretaro 13 6 2 5 17:18 20
10 Santos Laguna 14 6 1 7 20:20 19
11 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
12 UNAM Pumas 14 4 5 5 20:23 17
13 Pachuca 14 4 4 6 22:19 16
14 Puebla 14 4 4 6 16:21 16
15 Tigres UANL 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
16 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)