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Puebla vs Club Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla host Club Leon in the Liga MX. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Puebla at 1.17 goals for, 1.83 against; Club Leon at 1.73 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Club Leon slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.56) back Club Leon to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Puebla
20%
Draws
57%
Club Leon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Club Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Puebla haven't matched Club Leon's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Club Leon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Puebla Clean Sheet 15%
Club Leon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Club Leon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club Leon
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Puebla
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Puebla
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Club Leon
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Liga MX
Club Leon vs Puebla
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 27 / 100
Club Leon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Club Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Leon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Club Leon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Puebla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Club Leon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon

(Away)
28 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 1
Juarez
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
06 Sept
Club Leon
1 : 0
Club America
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)