Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla vs Juarez

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fulgencio R. In: Pizarro R.
Out: Fulgencio R.
54'
Sub
Guilherme Castilho In: Dupuy L.
Out: Guilherme Castilho
55' Event
Moreno I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX 2025/2026 game between Puebla and Juarez finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Puebla
39%
Draws
31%
Juarez
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juarez come out ahead of Puebla on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%
Juarez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Juarez
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
4:4
Mar 29, 2025 Liga MX
Juarez vs Puebla
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Juarez
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Juarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Madson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 29 / 100
Juarez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Juarez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juarez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Puebla scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Puebla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Juarez
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
22 Jul
Cruz Azul
2 : 1
Puebla
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Atlas
3 : 4
Puebla
04 Jul
Pachuca
3 : 1
Puebla
01 Jul
Puebla
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6

Juarez

(Away)
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0
Juarez
18 Jul
Juarez
0 : 1
Puebla
10 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 1
Juarez
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3
Juarez
01 Jul
Juarez
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UNAM Pumas17106134:1736
2Guadalajara Chivas17113333:1736
3Cruz Azul1796231:1833
4Pachuca1794425:1931
5Toluca1786328:1630
6Atlas1775516:1826
7Tigres UANL1774628:1825
8Club America1774620:1725
9Club Tijuana1758419:1723
10Club Leon1771922:3222
11Queretaro1748517:2120
12Juarez1754826:3219
13Monterrey1753922:2418
14Atletico San Luis1753924:2718
15Necaxa1753919:2518
16Mazatlan FC17431022:3715
17Puebla17341013:2613
18Santos Laguna17331120:3812
Promotion - Liga MX 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)