Sport Picks
Puebla vs Santos Laguna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla 
Match Events
4'
4'
Almada F.
Own Goal
9'
9'
Mustre E.
Assist: Baltazar C.
46'
46'
Sub
Gonzalez D. In: Sordo R.
Out: Gonzalez D.
AI Match Summary
Puebla in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos Laguna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santos Laguna have won more games recently than Puebla.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Puebla have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Puebla Clean Sheet 16%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs Santos Laguna
3:2
Mar 22, 2026 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Puebla
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs Santos Laguna
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Puebla
0:2
Jul 5, 2024 Liga MX
Puebla vs Santos Laguna
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustre E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Baltazar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Santos Laguna Compare
Top Goalscorer Bullaude E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla 36 / 100
Santos Laguna 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla Santos Laguna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santos Laguna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santos Laguna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Puebla scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Puebla went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Puebla VS Santos Laguna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla
(Home) 10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1 Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0 Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1 Club Leon
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2 Santos Laguna
01 Aug
Puebla
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
Page 1 of 3
Santos Laguna
(Away) 27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0 Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1 Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0 Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3 Santos Laguna
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0 Santos Laguna
23 Aug
Puebla
3 : 2 Santos Laguna
13 Aug
Philadelphia Union
0 : 2 Santos Laguna
10 Aug
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Santos Laguna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 20 |
| 3 | Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
