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Puebla vs Tlaxcala Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Puebla
20%
Draws
57%
Tlaxcala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tlaxcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Tlaxcala average 1.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Puebla's 1.17.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Tlaxcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%
Tlaxcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla Tlaxcala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Puebla vs Tlaxcala
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 26 / 100
Tlaxcala 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla Tlaxcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tlaxcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Puebla found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tlaxcala conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Puebla remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS Tlaxcala
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1
Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0
Puebla
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Tlaxcala

(Away)
26 Sept
Tlaxcala
4 : 1
Cancun
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0
Tlaxcala
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Venados FC
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