Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Puebla host Toluca in the Liga MX. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Toluca have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Puebla have conceded 1.85 and scored 1.22. Head-to-head, Puebla have won 0 to Toluca's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.06, favoring Toluca. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-9.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toluca carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Toluca's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 36 |
| Wins | 8 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.85 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Puebla scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Toluca conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Puebla remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla
(Home)Toluca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Puebla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 11 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4:23 | 0 |
