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Puebla vs UNAM Pumas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla host UNAM Pumas in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. UNAM Pumas have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Puebla have conceded 1.82 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Puebla have won 0 to UNAM Pumas's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.25) point toward UNAM Pumas. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Puebla
35%
Draws
41%
UNAM Pumas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UNAM Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas have won more games recently than Puebla.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Puebla Clean Sheet 19%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla UNAM Pumas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
UNAM Pumas vs Puebla
0:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga MX
Puebla vs UNAM Pumas
2:3
Aug 24, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Puebla
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Liga MX
Puebla vs UNAM Pumas
1:3
Sep 18, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Puebla
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla 32 / 100
UNAM Pumas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla UNAM Pumas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puebla's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

UNAM Pumas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Puebla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla VS UNAM Pumas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla

(Home)
22 Oct
Puebla
1 : 4
Monterrey
17 Oct
Club Tijuana
0 : 0
Puebla
10 Oct
Puebla
1 : 1
Club Leon
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1
Atlante
Page 1 of 6

UNAM Pumas

(Away)
22 Oct
Santos Laguna
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
17 Oct
Atlante
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13 6 5 2 20:12 23
3 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
4 Toluca 13 6 4 3 28:18 22
5 Club Leon 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 12 6 2 4 23:17 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
11 UNAM Pumas 13 4 4 5 19:22 16
12 Atletico San Luis 13 4 4 5 18:22 16
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 13 3 5 5 14:18 14
15 Atlante 13 3 5 5 14:19 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 13 2 3 8 15:26 9
18 Juarez 13 1 1 11 8:32 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)