Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla W vs Mazatlan FC W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lopez A.
23' Event
Garcia D.
(Penalty)
45'
Sub
Lopez Roque I. S. In: Fernandez L.
Out: Lopez Roque I. S.

AI Match Summary

Mazatlan FC W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazatlan FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Puebla W
39%
Draws
30%
Mazatlan FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazatlan FC W lately — more wins on the board than Puebla W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Mazatlan FC W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Mazatlan FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 0.38 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Mazatlan FC W
1:2
Aug 19, 2025 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Puebla W
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Puebla W
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Mazatlan FC W
3:1
Mar 18, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Mazatlan FC W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Mazatlan FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 30 / 100
Mazatlan FC W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Mazatlan FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mazatlan FC W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Mazatlan FC W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Puebla W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Mazatlan FC W
0.38 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
25 Apr
Puebla W
3 : 2
Necaxa W
05 Apr
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 2
Puebla W
01 Apr
Puebla W
0 : 0
Queretaro W
28 Mar
Cruz Azul W
4 : 0
Puebla W
22 Mar
Puebla W
0 : 3
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

Mazatlan FC W

(Away)
25 Apr
Club Tijuana W
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
06 Apr
Mazatlan FC W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
03 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
28 Mar
Mazatlan FC W
2 : 3
Toluca W
21 Mar
Cruz Azul W
1 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Clausura - Play Offs)