Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla W vs Monterrey W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Puebla W host Monterrey W in the Liga MX Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Puebla W at 0.9 goals for, 3.17 against; Monterrey W at 2.63 for, 0.91 against. Head-to-head, Puebla W have won 0 to Monterrey W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 5, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.38 - 3.50) back Monterrey W to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Puebla W
15%
Draws
68%
Monterrey W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monterrey W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monterrey W come out ahead of Puebla W on wins alone.
  • Monterrey W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Monterrey W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Monterrey W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Monterrey W
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 4 25
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 0.9 2.63
Goals Conceded 3.17 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
4:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Monterrey W
0:5
Jan 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
5:1
Jul 7, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Monterrey W
0:1
Jan 6, 2024 Liga MX Women
Monterrey W vs Puebla W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 10 / 100
Monterrey W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Monterrey W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monterrey W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Puebla W scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Monterrey W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Puebla W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Monterrey W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

Monterrey W

(Away)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
06 Sept
Monterrey W
5 : 1
Toluca W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
22 Aug
Monterrey W
2 : 3
Club Leon W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 8 7 0 1 33:9 21
2 Tigres UANL W 8 7 0 1 28:8 21
3 Juarez W 8 6 0 2 9:5 18
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 8 4 0 4 11:16 12
7 Cruz Azul W 8 4 0 4 11:20 12
8 Atlante W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
9 Queretaro W 8 2 0 6 10:20 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
3 Atletico San Luis W 8 5 0 3 21:15 15
4 UNAM Pumas W 8 4 0 4 17:14 12
5 Atlas W 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
6 Pachuca W 8 2 1 5 9:12 7
7 Club Tijuana W 8 2 0 6 11:19 6
8 Puebla W 8 1 0 7 12:36 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)