Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Puebla W vs Necaxa W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Solis J.
21'
Fernandez I.
24' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Puebla W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puebla W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Puebla W
15%
Draws
0%
Necaxa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Puebla W have won more games recently than Necaxa W.
  • Win probability leans Puebla W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Puebla W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puebla W Necaxa W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 21 27
Goals Scored 0.93 0.52
Goals Conceded 3.18 3.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
3:2
Sep 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Puebla W
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Puebla W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puebla W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vivanco S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Necaxa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puebla W 83 / 100
Necaxa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puebla W Necaxa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puebla W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Necaxa W conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Necaxa W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Puebla W scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Puebla W VS Necaxa W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
4.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Puebla W

(Home)
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0
Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2
Puebla W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa W

(Away)
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0
Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1
Necaxa W
24 Aug
Necaxa W
0 : 7
Club America W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)