Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
De Leon L. A. A.
Own Goal
5'
5'
Diaz Y.
15'
15'
Sub
Danae Gutierrez Acosta A. In: Terzian Jensen A.
Out: Danae Gutierrez Acosta A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX Women game between Puebla W and Necaxa W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puebla W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puebla W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Puebla W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Puebla W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Puebla W Clean Sheet 10%
Necaxa W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Puebla W | Necaxa W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 22 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.14 | 3.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
4:1
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
3:2
Sep 8, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Puebla W
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Liga MX Women
Necaxa W vs Puebla W
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Puebla W vs Necaxa W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Puebla W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peraza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Necaxa W Compare
Top Goalscorer Terzian Jensen A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Puebla W 29 / 100
Necaxa W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Puebla W Necaxa W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Puebla W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Necaxa W let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.
Necaxa W lost 5 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Puebla W found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Puebla W VS Necaxa W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
4.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Puebla W
(Home) 27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
20 Sept
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 0 Puebla W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
08 Sept
Club Leon W
5 : 2 Puebla W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Puebla W
1 : 2 Monterrey W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6 Queretaro W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
23 Aug
Puebla W
2 : 5 Atletico San Luis W
09 Aug
Puebla W
1 : 4 Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 3
Necaxa W
(Away) 29 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 4 Toluca W
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0 Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0 Necaxa W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2 Atletico San Luis W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Monterrey W
10 : 0 Necaxa W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0 Necaxa W
30 Aug
Puebla W
4 : 1 Necaxa W
16 Aug
Club Tijuana W
5 : 1 Necaxa W
03 Aug
Atlante W
1 : 0 Necaxa W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monterrey W | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 35:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Juarez W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:15 | 19 |
| 5 | Club Leon W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:21 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlante W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 9 | Queretaro W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:21 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 42:7 | 25 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico San Luis W | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22:16 | 16 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 5 | Atlas W | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12:24 | 6 |
| 8 | Puebla W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13:38 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:36 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)
