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Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pueblonuevo host UP Plasencia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pueblonuevo at 1.16 goals for, 1.65 against; UP Plasencia at 1.04 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Pueblonuevo have won 3 to UP Plasencia's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2023, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.07 - 0.90) back Pueblonuevo to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pueblonuevo
35%
Draws
26%
UP Plasencia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pueblonuevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pueblonuevo have won more games recently than UP Plasencia.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 20%
UP Plasencia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pueblonuevo UP Plasencia
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 9 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.07 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia
4:2
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
1:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
6:0
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs UP Plasencia
1:0
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UP Plasencia vs Pueblonuevo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pueblonuevo 31 / 100
UP Plasencia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pueblonuevo UP Plasencia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pueblonuevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Pueblonuevo found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

UP Plasencia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Pueblonuevo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pueblonuevo VS UP Plasencia
1 Goals Scored 0.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
63% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Pueblonuevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 7

UP Plasencia

(Away)
27 Sept
Castuera
1 : 0
UP Plasencia
19 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
31 Aug
Jaraiz
0 : 0
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)