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Puente Genil vs Cabecense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Araiza A.
25' Event
Araiza A.
90' Event
Morillas J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Puente Genil and Cabecense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puente Genil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Puente Genil
20%
Draws
29%
Cabecense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Puente Genil come out ahead of Cabecense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Puente Genil a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puente Genil Cabecense
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Cabecense
3:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Puente Genil
2:2
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Puente Genil
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Puente Genil vs Cabecense
1:0
Mar 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Puente Genil
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiza A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morillas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Cabecense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puente Genil 95 / 100
Cabecense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puente Genil Cabecense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabecense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Puente Genil found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (38 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Puente Genil remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Puente Genil VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Puente Genil

(Home)
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
12 Apr
Puente Genil
1 : 1
Deportiva Minera
05 Apr
Xerez CD
0 : 1
Puente Genil
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Cabecense

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0
Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1
Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0
Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1
La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0
Cabecense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez CD 34 19 10 5 53:21 67
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 19 9 6 39:21 66
3 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 18 10 6 50:23 64
4 Pozoblanco 34 18 8 8 49:36 62
5 AD Ceuta B 34 15 11 8 47:27 56
6 Puente Genil 34 13 15 6 52:45 54
7 Inter Sevilla 34 14 7 13 38:40 49
8 CD Utrera 34 13 7 14 50:48 46
9 AD Cartaya 34 12 9 13 35:34 45
10 La Palma CF 34 11 8 15 49:52 41
11 Bollullos 34 8 14 12 31:44 38
12 Conil 34 9 10 15 29:40 37
13 Cordoba B 34 8 13 13 37:43 37
14 Atletico Espeleno 34 10 7 17 41:53 37
15 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 42:54 36
16 Sevilla C 34 8 11 15 28:35 35
17 Ayamonte 34 7 11 16 32:47 32
18 Cabecense 34 7 7 20 25:64 28
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)