Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026

CD Estepona

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puente Genil play CD Estepona in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Puente Genil averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. CD Estepona averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Puente Genil won 2, CD Estepona won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Puente Genil and 1.56 for CD Estepona. This points to a Puente Genil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Puente Genil

25%

Draws

37%

CD Estepona

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Puente Genil picked up more points recently compared to CD Estepona.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Puente Genil Clean Sheet 15%

CD Estepona Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puente Genil	CD Estepona
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	11
Draws	7	8
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.77	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Puente Genil vs CD Estepona

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

CD Estepona vs Puente Genil

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Alconchel I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

CD Estepona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puente Genil 37 / 100

CD Estepona 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puente Genil CD Estepona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Puente Genil or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Puente Genil attacking → ← attacking CD Estepona

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puente Genil scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

CD Estepona let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Puente Genil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Estepona lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 41

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	17	12	5	54:38	63
2	Deportiva Minera	34	19	6	9	50:33	63
3	Aguilas FC	34	18	7	9	45:25	61
4	Xerez CD	34	17	8	9	32:24	59
5	Jaen	34	16	10	8	43:33	58
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41:25	57
7	UCAM Murcia	34	16	7	11	49:41	55
8	Linares	34	11	14	9	42:45	47
9	La Union (Malacitano)	34	13	6	15	44:43	45
10	Lorca Deportiva	34	12	9	13	32:36	45
11	Yeclano	34	12	8	14	33:33	44
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38:40	44
13	CD Estepona	34	12	8	14	40:44	44
14	Puente Genil	34	10	10	14	28:37	40
15	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	8	12	14	34:43	36
16	Melilla	34	7	13	14	36:40	34
17	Almeria B	34	4	9	21	26:53	21
18	Malaga B	34	5	6	23	32:66	21