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Puente Genil vs Malaga B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ruiz A.
32' Event
Perea G.
57' Event
Alvarez R.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Puente Genil and Malaga B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puente Genil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Puente Genil
15%
Draws
26%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Puente Genil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Puente Genil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Puente Genil Malaga B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Malaga B
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs Puente Genil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Puente Genil Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Malaga B Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puente Genil 95 / 100
Malaga B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Puente Genil Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Puente Genil's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Puente Genil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Puente Genil VS Malaga B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Puente Genil

(Home)
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
19 Apr
Jaen
2 : 1
Puente Genil
Page 1 of 6

Malaga B

(Away)
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
18 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 2
Antoniano
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)