Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Puerta Bonita host Alcobendas in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015. This one's hard to separate. Alcobendas have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Puerta Bonita have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Puerta Bonita slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2015, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 1.24, favoring Alcobendas. Alcobendas in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Puerta Bonita

33%

Draws

40%

Alcobendas

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Alcobendas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Puerta Bonita.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Alcobendas.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Puerta Bonita Clean Sheet 19%

Alcobendas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Puerta Bonita	Alcobendas
Matches Played	30	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	11	4
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Puerta Bonita vs Alcobendas

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

3:3

Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Alcobendas vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Puerta Bonita 28 / 100

Alcobendas 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Puerta Bonita Alcobendas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puerta Bonita scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alcobendas let in goals in 80% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Puerta Bonita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alcobendas lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcobendas

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.75

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	38	21	8	9	67:38	71
2	Navalcarnero	38	18	10	10	43:37	64
3	Mexico	38	17	13	8	59:39	64
4	Union Adarve	38	17	12	9	40:31	63
5	Alcorcon B	38	17	12	9	57:41	63
6	San Sebastian Reyes	38	18	8	12	47:32	62
7	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	16	12	10	48:42	60
8	RSD Alcala	38	13	17	8	41:29	56
9	Real Madrid C	38	16	7	15	50:40	55
10	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	16	6	16	46:45	54
11	Parla	38	14	11	13	47:39	53
12	Atletico Pinto	38	15	7	16	44:42	52
13	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	7	17	53:66	49
14	Puerta Bonita	38	12	11	15	42:44	47
15	CD Mostoles	38	11	13	14	44:46	46
16	San Fernando de Henares	38	9	17	12	35:42	44
17	Siello	38	10	13	15	37:51	43
18	Alcobendas	38	7	15	16	35:49	36
19	AD Colmenar	38	10	5	23	35:65	35
20	AD Torrejon	38	6	2	30	22:74	20